One of the more interesting aspects of the technology adoption lifecycle in Moore’s Crossing the Chasm that doesn’t often get discussed is the selection bias that consumes the innovators and the early adopters. It is fascinating, for example, to see privacy advocates and DRM detractors acting as if the entire population (of the free world?) agrees with them because they use anecdotes from their professional colleagues…who are also privacy advocates and DRM detractors…as evidence. (Makes me wonder how many innovators/enthusiasts there are in the world – 100 million?)
It doesn’t take much to come up with a better way to gather opinions about these issues. Or better yet, to evaluate the actions taken by the early/late majority.
I think privacy may be a candidate for crossing the chasm opinion-wise, but not even close when looking at people’s actions. I don’t believe anti-DRM is even close any way you look at it. The e-voting issue is interesting to watch this election period, but I don’t really think it has legs…even if democracy goes down the tubes with it. Well, maybe then.